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Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Justin Jefferson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson

Market projects
20.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
89%
Through Week 4
Target share
29%
Through Week 4
Sit

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · at NO · Questionable

Market projects
16.9
fantasy pts
NO D vs WR
29.5
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 3
Target share
25%
Through Week 3

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Our Week 5 call

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Amon-Ra St. Brown at 20.4 points and Justin Jefferson at 16.9, a gap of 3.5.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 20.4 fantasy points for Amon-Ra St. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 80.5 receiving yards and 7.5 receptions, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (17, 13 and 17 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Justin Jefferson at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 15 market sources).

That puts Amon-Ra St. Brown 3.5 points ahead of Justin Jefferson on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 29.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against NO.

Injury status

Amon-Ra St. Brown is not on the injury report.

Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 89 percent of DET snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 2 against BUF: 62 of 65 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 3 against NYJ: 48 of 65 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 4 against CAR: 68 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 75 yards.

Through Week 3, Justin Jefferson played 68 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR2 · DET · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
5
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

WR8 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
16
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board11
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 6
  • Board size281 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board