Start Justin Jefferson or Christian Watson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Christian Watson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.9 points and Christian Watson at 13.0, a gap of 3.9.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Justin Jefferson at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Christian Watson at 60.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 35% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14 and 17 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 3.9 points ahead of Christian Watson on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 29.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against NO.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 3, Justin Jefferson played 68 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Through Week 4, Christian Watson played 79 percent of GB snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 1 against MIN: 52 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 2 against NYJ: 53 of 59 snaps, 11 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Calvin Ridley.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.
• Start Christian Watson over Carnell Tate.
• Start Chris Olave over Christian Watson.
• Start Davante Adams over Christian Watson.