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Start Ashton Jeanty or Christian McCaffrey? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Christian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty

Books imply
19.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
54%
Through Week 2
Target share
22%
Through Week 2
Sit

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at NO

Books imply
16.7
fantasy pts
NO D vs RB
28.9
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Through Week 2
Target share
22%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Christian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Christian McCaffrey at 19.7 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.7, a gap of 3.0. Christian McCaffrey's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Market coverage on Christian McCaffrey is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.7 fantasy points for Christian McCaffrey, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Christian McCaffrey at 55.5 rushing yards, with a 70% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Ashton Jeanty at 68.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Christian McCaffrey 3.0 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NO on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NO allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 119 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Injury status

Christian McCaffrey is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Christian McCaffrey played 54 percent of SF snaps, took 36 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 1 against LAR: 36 of 65 snaps, 10 carries for 68 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 20 yards.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 2 against MIA: 27 of 52 snaps, 10 carries for 23 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 2, Ashton Jeanty played 77 percent of LV snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 59 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian McCaffrey played 17 games for SF and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He ran 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 36 of 42 snaps, 8 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 34 yards, 11.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 26 carries for 87 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 12.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB6 · LV · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
9
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB7 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board