Start Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty

- Books imply
- 16.1
- fantasy pts
- PIT D vs RB
- 26.5
- 7th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 17%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 16.7
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 28.9
- 6th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 77%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 22%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Chase Brown at 16.1 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.7, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Chase Brown at ADP 5 and Ashton Jeanty at 9.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Ashton Jeanty at 68.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (15, 14, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Chase Brown at 63.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Ashton Jeanty 0.6 points ahead of Chase Brown on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NO on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
NO allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 6th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 119 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 36 more yards.
Chase Brown and CIN visit PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
PIT allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 7th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 117 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 49 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.
Chase Brown is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Ashton Jeanty played 77 percent of LV snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 59 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Through Week 2, Chase Brown played 71 percent of CIN snaps, took 75 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 26 carries for 87 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 12.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chase Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 13 carries for 72 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB6 · LV · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 9
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB9 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 14
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size230 draftable players
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