Start Baker Mayfield or Cam Ward? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Cam Ward in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Baker Mayfield at 14.1 points and Cam Ward at 13.3, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Baker Mayfield at 216.5 passing yards and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Cam Ward, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Cam Ward at 190.5 passing yards and 11.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Baker Mayfield 0.8 points ahead of Cam Ward on the books.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Cam Ward is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 76 times and threw an average of 9.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Through Week 2, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 63 times and threw an average of 6.3 air yards per attempt.

Cam Ward, Week 1 against NYJ: 50 of 50 snaps, 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 2 against PHI: 53 of 53 snaps, 13 of 20 passes for 183 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Cam Ward, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 of 3 passes for 52 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 9.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Cam Ward.