Start Chase Brown or Derrick Henry? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Derrick Henry over Chase Brown in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 17.7 points and Chase Brown at 18.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (9 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 15 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 0.7 points ahead of Derrick Henry on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chase Brown.
• Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown.
• Start Derrick Henry over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.