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Start Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bijan Robinson over Jonathan Taylor

Right: 31.3 to 25.1
Start

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL · at PIT

PIT D vs RB
34.4
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Week 1
Target share
53%
Week 1
Scored
31.3
PPR pts
Sit

Jonathan Taylor

RB · IND · vs BAL

Books imply
12.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
26.1
11th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
89%
Week 1
Target share
14%
Week 1
Scored
25.1
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Jonathan Taylor in Week 1.

Jonathan Taylor is priced by the books at 12.1 projected points and Bijan Robinson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Jonathan Taylor at 8.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Bijan Robinson in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Jonathan Taylor, with 30 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL visit PIT.

PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.

Jonathan Taylor and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 26.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns against BAL and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bijan Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jonathan Taylor was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bijan Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 15 carries for 33 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 7.3 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 42 of 53 snaps, 22 carries for 195 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns, 39.9 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 54 of 77 snaps, 16 carries for 76 yards, 11 targets and 7 catches for 92 yards, 1 touchdown, 29.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Jonathan Taylor played 17 games for IND and scored 362.3 PPR points, 21.3 a game, finishing RB4.

He ran 323 times for 1585 yards and 18 touchdowns, and caught 46 of 55 targets for 378 yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 14 carries for 26 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards, 5.9 PPR points.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 51 of 57 snaps, 21 carries for 70 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.4 PPR points.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 53 of 60 snaps, 16 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 16.9 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Bijan Robinson scored 31.3 PPR points and Jonathan Taylor scored 25.1.

The call was right: Bijan Robinson outscored Jonathan Taylor by 6.2.

Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 31.3 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson finished as the week's RB6 in PPR scoring.

Jonathan Taylor finished 13.0 points above the 12.1 the props implied.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 19 carries for 98 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 2 touchdowns, 25.1 PPR points.

Jonathan Taylor finished as the week's RB8 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB1 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 5-12

Overall rank
1
Draft pick
ADP 1
Tier
1

Ranked behind

RB14 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 10-7

Overall rank
35
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board34
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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