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Start Bijan Robinson or De'Von Achane? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bijan Robinson over De'Von Achane

Right: 31.3 to 10.6
Start

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL · at PIT

Books imply
18.4
fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB
34.4
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Week 1
Target share
53%
Week 1
Scored
31.3
PPR pts
Sit

De'Von Achane

RB · MIA · at LV

LV D vs RB
10.5
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Week 1
Target share
19%
Week 1
Scored
10.6
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Bijan Robinson over De'Von Achane in Week 1.

Bijan Robinson is priced by the books at 18.4 projected points. De'Von Achane has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and De'Von Achane at 11. Market coverage on Bijan Robinson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for De'Von Achane in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL visit PIT on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.

De'Von Achane and MIA visit LV.

LV allowed 10.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 35 yards and no touchdowns against LV and caught passes for 30 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bijan Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

De'Von Achane was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bijan Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 15 carries for 33 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 7.3 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 42 of 53 snaps, 22 carries for 195 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns, 39.9 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 54 of 77 snaps, 16 carries for 76 yards, 11 targets and 7 catches for 92 yards, 1 touchdown, 29.8 PPR points.

In 2025, De'Von Achane played 16 games for MIA and scored 322.8 PPR points, 20.2 a game, finishing RB5.

He ran 238 times for 1350 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 67 of 85 targets for 488 yards.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

De'Von Achane, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 41 of 55 snaps, 18 carries for 83 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

De'Von Achane, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 42 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 81 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.0 PPR points.

De'Von Achane, Week 15 of 2025 against PIT: 40 of 50 snaps, 12 carries for 60 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards, 18.7 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Bijan Robinson scored 31.3 PPR points and De'Von Achane scored 10.6.

The call was right: Bijan Robinson outscored De'Von Achane by 20.7.

Bijan Robinson finished 12.9 points above the 18.4 the props implied.

Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 31.3 PPR points.

Bijan Robinson finished as the week's RB6 in PPR scoring.

De'Von Achane, Week 1 against LV: 48 of 56 snaps, 11 carries for 36 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

De'Von Achane finished as the week's RB24 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB1 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 5-12

Overall rank
1
Draft pick
ADP 1
Tier
1

Ranked behind

RB9 · MIA · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 8-8

Overall rank
22
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board21
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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