Start Brandon Aubrey or Harrison Butker? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Brandon Aubrey over Harrison Butker
Wrong: 1.0 to 7.0
- Books imply
- 8.5
- fantasy pts
- Scored
- 1.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.3
- fantasy pts
- Scored
- 7.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Brandon Aubrey over Harrison Butker in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Brandon Aubrey at 8.5 points and Harrison Butker at 2.3, a gap of 6.1. Drafters take Brandon Aubrey at ADP 120 and Harrison Butker at 141. Market coverage on Brandon Aubrey is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.5 fantasy points for Brandon Aubrey, with 40 percent of the markets a K needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Harrison Butker, with 33 percent of the markets a K needs posted.
That puts Brandon Aubrey 6.1 points ahead of Harrison Butker on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Brandon Aubrey and DAL visit NYG on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
Harrison Butker and KC host DEN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
Injury status
Brandon Aubrey was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Harrison Butker was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brandon Aubrey played 17 games for DAL and scored 180.6 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing K3.
Brandon Aubrey, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 1 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 4.0 PPR points.
Brandon Aubrey, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 3 of 4 field goals, 3 of 3 extra points, 16.0 PPR points.
Brandon Aubrey, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 1 of 1 field goal, 2 of 2 extra points, 5.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Harrison Butker played 17 games for KC and scored 140.0 PPR points, 8.2 a game, finishing K11.
Harrison Butker, Week 18 of 2025 against LV: 4 of 4 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points, 15.0 PPR points.
Harrison Butker, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 2 of 2 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 10.0 PPR points.
Harrison Butker, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 3 of 4 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points, 11.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Brandon Aubrey scored 1.0 PPR points and Harrison Butker scored 7.0.
The call was wrong: Harrison Butker outscored Brandon Aubrey by 6.0.
Brandon Aubrey finished 7.5 points below the 8.5 the props implied.
Brandon Aubrey, Week 1 against NYG: 0 of 0 field goals, 2 of 3 extra points, 1.0 PPR points.
Harrison Butker finished 4.7 points above the 2.3 the props implied.
Harrison Butker, Week 1 against DEN: 1 of 1 field goal, 4 of 4 extra points, 7.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
K1 · DAL · bye 14
- Overall rank
- 11
- Draft pick
- ADP 11
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
K5 · KC · bye 5
- Overall rank
- 123
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board112
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 2
- Board size244 draftable players
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