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Start Harrison Butker or Cairo Santos? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Harrison Butker over Cairo Santos

Wrong: 7.0 to 12.0
Start

Harrison Butker

K · KC · vs DEN

Books imply
7.6
fantasy pts
Scored
7.0
PPR pts
Sit

Cairo Santos

K · CHI · at CAR

Scored
12.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Harrison Butker over Cairo Santos in Week 1.

Harrison Butker is priced by the books at 7.6 projected points. Cairo Santos has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Harrison Butker at ADP 161 and Cairo Santos at 179. Market coverage on Harrison Butker is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Harrison Butker, with 40 percent of the markets a K needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Cairo Santos in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Harrison Butker and KC host DEN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

Cairo Santos and CHI visit CAR.

Injury status

Harrison Butker was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Cairo Santos was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Harrison Butker played 17 games for KC and scored 140.0 PPR points, 8.2 a game, finishing K11.

Harrison Butker, Week 18 of 2025 against LV: 4 of 4 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points, 15.0 PPR points.

Harrison Butker, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 2 of 2 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 10.0 PPR points.

Harrison Butker, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 3 of 4 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points, 11.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Cairo Santos played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.0 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing K18.

Cairo Santos, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 0 of 0 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points.

Cairo Santos, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 1 of 1 field goal, 5 of 5 extra points, 8.0 PPR points.

Cairo Santos, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 3 of 3 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 14.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Harrison Butker scored 7.0 PPR points and Cairo Santos scored 12.0.

The call was wrong: Cairo Santos outscored Harrison Butker by 5.0.

Harrison Butker finished 0.6 points below the 7.6 the props implied.

Harrison Butker, Week 1 against DEN: 1 of 1 field goal, 4 of 4 extra points, 7.0 PPR points.

Cairo Santos, Week 1 against CAR: 1 of 1 field goal, 8 of 8 extra points, 12.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

K6 · KC · bye 5

Overall rank
124
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

K14 · CHI · bye 10

Overall rank
149
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board25
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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