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Start Brian Robinson or Kaleb Johnson? Week 3

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Kaleb Johnson over Brian Robinson

Wrong: 2.6 to 11.0
Start

Kaleb Johnson

RB · final

Books implied
6.6
pre-game
Snap share
27%
Through Week 2
Target share
0%
Through Week 2
Scored
2.6
PPR pts
Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · final

Books implied
4.3
pre-game
Snap share
37%
Through Week 2
Target share
4%
Through Week 2
Scored
11.0
PPR pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Kaleb Johnson over Brian Robinson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kaleb Johnson at 6.6 points and Brian Robinson at 4.3, a gap of 2.4.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Kaleb Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Kaleb Johnson at 35.5 rushing yards, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 17 books).

Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Brian Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Brian Robinson at 22.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 15 books).

That puts Kaleb Johnson 2.4 points ahead of Brian Robinson on the books.

Injury status

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Brian Robinson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Kaleb Johnson played 27 percent of GB snaps, took 44 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 2 against NYJ: 16 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 32 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 2, Brian Robinson played 37 percent of ATL snaps, took 32 percent of the carries and drew 4 percent of the targets.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 33 of 69 snaps, 11 carries for 51 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 15 of 2025 against MIA: 2 of 66 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 6 of 42 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

How Week 3 went

Kaleb Johnson scored 2.6 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 11.0.

The call was wrong: Brian Robinson outscored Kaleb Johnson by 8.4.

Kaleb Johnson finished 4.0 points below the 6.6 the props implied.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 3 against ATL: 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards, 2.6 PPR points.

Kaleb Johnson finished as the week's RB4 in PPR scoring.

Brian Robinson finished 6.7 points above the 4.3 the props implied.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 11.0 PPR points.

Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB2 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB41 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
151
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

Ranked behind

RB · GB · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-10

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board