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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Kaleb Johnson? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Kaleb Johnson over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Books imply
6.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
27%
Through Week 2
Target share
0%
Through Week 2
Books imply
5.5
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Kaleb Johnson over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kaleb Johnson at 6.7 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 5.5, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.7 fantasy points for Kaleb Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Kaleb Johnson at 37.5 rushing yards, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (16 and 16 books).

Player prop markets imply 5.5 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 20.5 rushing yards, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 14 books).

That puts Kaleb Johnson 1.2 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the books.

Injury status

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Kaleb Johnson played 27 percent of GB snaps, took 44 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 2 against NYJ: 16 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 32 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 15 of 2025 against MIA: 2 of 66 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB44 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 6-7

Overall rank
154
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

RB · GB · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-10

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board