Start Isaiah Likely or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Isaiah Likely over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Books imply
- 9.7
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 9.3
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Isaiah Likely over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Isaiah Likely at 9.7 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 9.3, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Isaiah Likely at 40.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (15, 10 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Brian Thomas Jr. at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).
That puts Isaiah Likely 0.4 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the books.
Injury status
Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE11 · NYG · bye 8
2025 vs catches line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
WR41 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board19
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 9
- Board size222 draftable players
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