Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jayden Reed? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jayden Reed
Right: 7.0 to 5.0
- CLE D vs WR
- 48.5
- 3rd most to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 7.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.8
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 57%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jayden Reed in Week 1.
Jayden Reed is priced by the books at 1.8 projected points and Brian Thomas Jr. is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Brian Thomas Jr. at ADP 81 and Jayden Reed at 85.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.8 fantasy points for Jayden Reed, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host CLE.
CLE allowed 48.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 183 yards and 3 touchdowns against CLE.
Jayden Reed and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
By points allowed to the position, Jayden Reed has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jayden Reed was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Jayden Reed played 7 games for GB and scored 48.5 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing WR114.
He caught 19 of 22 targets for 207 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 122 air yards.
He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jayden Reed, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Jayden Reed, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 24 of 47 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 8.1 PPR points.
Jayden Reed, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 46 of 72 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.1 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Brian Thomas Jr. scored 7.0 PPR points and Jayden Reed scored 5.0.
The call was right: Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Jayden Reed by 2.0.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 20 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards, 7.0 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished as the week's WR58 in PPR scoring.
Jayden Reed finished 3.2 points above the 1.8 the props implied.
Jayden Reed, Week 1 against MIN: 39 of 68 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 5.0 PPR points.
Jayden Reed finished as the week's WR72 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR28 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR34 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 1-6
- Overall rank
- 101
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board6
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant