Start Carnell Tate or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Carnell Tate over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Books imply
- 8.6
- fantasy pts
- PHI D vs WR
- 36.7
- 11th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Through Week 1
- DEN D vs WR
- 14.7
- 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Carnell Tate over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 2.
Carnell Tate is priced by the books at 8.6 projected points. Brian Thomas Jr. has too little of his market posted this week to price, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and his injury status only. Drafters take Carnell Tate at ADP 75 and Brian Thomas Jr. at 81.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.6 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 2.
Week 2 matchups
Carnell Tate and TEN host PHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
PHI allowed 36.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI.
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
DEN allowed 14.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 37 yards and a touchdown against DEN.
By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.
Brian Thomas Jr. is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Carnell Tate played 88 percent of TEN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards.
Through Week 1, Brian Thomas Jr. played 35 percent of JAX snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 20 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR22 · TEN · bye 9
- Overall rank
- 85
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR28 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board10
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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