Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Books imply
- 9.0
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs WR
- 22.5
- 9th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 42%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Through Week 1
- Books imply
- 7.6
- fantasy pts
- DEN D vs WR
- 14.7
- 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.0 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 7.6, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Deebo Samuel Sr. at ADP 39 and Brian Thomas Jr. at 36.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 1.4 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
DEN allowed 14.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 37 yards and a touchdown against DEN.
Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIA allowed 22.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 83 yards and a touchdown against MIA.
By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.
Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Brian Thomas Jr. played 35 percent of JAX snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 20 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards.
Through Week 1, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 42 percent of SF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 1 against LAR: 27 of 65 snaps, 1 carry for 12 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.
He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.
He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR4 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 8-8
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- ADP 10
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
WR28 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board85
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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