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Start Brock Purdy or Jared Goff? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff

Books imply
19.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
93%
Through Week 2
Books imply
19.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Brock Purdy at 19.3 points and Jared Goff at 19.1, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.3 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Brock Purdy at 237.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Jared Goff at 258.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 14 books).

That puts Brock Purdy 0.2 points ahead of Jared Goff on the books.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Brock Purdy played 93 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 61 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 2, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 85 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB14 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 5-4

Overall rank
92
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

QB17 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
97
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board5
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 7
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board