Start Josh Allen or Brock Purdy? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.8 points and Brock Purdy at 19.5, a gap of 5.2. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.8 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Josh Allen at 238.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 19.5 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Brock Purdy at 237.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 14 books).

That puts Josh Allen 5.2 points ahead of Brock Purdy on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host LAC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LAC allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 265 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.5 interceptions.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Through Week 2, Brock Purdy played 93 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 61 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 2 against MIA: 44 of 52 snaps, 20 of 22 passes for 287 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Josh Allen over Justin Herbert.
• Start Josh Allen over Lamar Jackson.
• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Brock Purdy.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.