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Start Jayden Daniels or Brock Purdy? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brock Purdy over Jayden Daniels

Right: 22.1 to 17.7
Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at LAR

Books imply
9.7
fantasy pts
LAR D vs QB
22.1
10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
22.1
PPR pts
Sit

Jayden Daniels

QB · WAS · at PHI

PHI D vs QB
17.7
14th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
17.7
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Brock Purdy over Jayden Daniels in Week 1.

Brock Purdy is priced by the books at 9.7 projected points. Jayden Daniels has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 85 and Jayden Daniels at 76. Market coverage on Brock Purdy is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jayden Daniels in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Jayden Daniels and WAS visit PHI.

PHI allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 164 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI, with no interceptions.

Brock Purdy and SF visit LAR on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

LAR allowed 22.1 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 205 yards and 3 touchdowns against LAR, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jayden Daniels was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brock Purdy was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jayden Daniels played 7 games for WAS and scored 117.3 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB34.

He completed 114 of 188 passes for 1262 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 58 times for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 303 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 28 yards, 37.9 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 63 of 66 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 295 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 11 yards, 31.9 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Brock Purdy scored 22.1 PPR points and Jayden Daniels scored 17.7.

The call was right: Brock Purdy outscored Jayden Daniels by 4.4.

Brock Purdy finished 12.4 points above the 9.7 the props implied.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Brock Purdy finished as the week's QB10 in PPR scoring.

Jayden Daniels, Week 1 against PHI: 70 of 70 snaps, 18 of 34 passes for 164 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 31 yards, 17.7 PPR points.

Jayden Daniels finished as the week's QB14 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB16 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 3-4

Overall rank
39
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB21 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 5-4

Overall rank
52
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board13
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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