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Start Jalen Hurts or Jayden Daniels? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jalen Hurts over Jayden Daniels

Right: 24.7 to 17.7
Start

Jalen Hurts

QB · PHI · vs WAS

Books imply
11.4
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
24.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
24.7
PPR pts
Sit

Jayden Daniels

QB · WAS · at PHI

Books imply
8.0
fantasy pts
PHI D vs QB
17.7
14th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
17.7
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Jayden Daniels in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 11.4 points and Jayden Daniels at 8.0, a gap of 3.4. Drafters take Jalen Hurts at ADP 73 and Jayden Daniels at 83. Market coverage on Jalen Hurts is 65 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 65 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Jayden Daniels, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jalen Hurts 3.4 points ahead of Jayden Daniels on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Jalen Hurts and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 24.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns against WAS, with no interceptions.

Jayden Daniels and WAS visit PHI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

PHI allowed 17.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 164 yards and 2 touchdowns against PHI, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jalen Hurts has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jayden Daniels was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 69 snaps, 12 of 15 passes for 175 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 39 yards, 22.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Jayden Daniels played 7 games for WAS and scored 117.3 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB34.

He completed 114 of 188 passes for 1262 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 58 times for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Jalen Hurts scored 24.7 PPR points and Jayden Daniels scored 17.7.

The call was right: Jalen Hurts outscored Jayden Daniels by 7.1.

Jalen Hurts finished 13.4 points above the 11.4 the props implied.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 46 yards, 24.7 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts finished as the week's QB8 in PPR scoring.

Jayden Daniels finished 9.7 points above the 8.0 the props implied.

Jayden Daniels, Week 1 against PHI: 70 of 70 snaps, 18 of 34 passes for 164 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 31 yards, 17.7 PPR points.

Jayden Daniels finished as the week's QB14 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB12 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 7-9

Overall rank
31
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB16 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 3-4

Overall rank
39
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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