Start Wil Lutz or Cairo Santos? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Cairo Santos over Wil Lutz
Right: 12.0 to 4.0
- Scored
- 12.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 6.6
- fantasy pts
- Scored
- 4.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Cairo Santos over Wil Lutz in Week 1.
Wil Lutz is priced by the books at 6.6 projected points and Cairo Santos is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Cairo Santos at ADP 189 and Wil Lutz at 197.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Cairo Santos in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Wil Lutz, with 40 percent of the markets a K needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Cairo Santos and CHI visit CAR.
Wil Lutz and DEN visit KC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
Injury status
Cairo Santos was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Wil Lutz was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Cairo Santos played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.0 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing K18.
Cairo Santos, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 0 of 0 field goals, 0 of 0 extra points.
Cairo Santos, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 1 of 1 field goal, 5 of 5 extra points, 8.0 PPR points.
Cairo Santos, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 3 of 3 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 14.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Wil Lutz played 17 games for DEN and scored 130.0 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing K15.
Wil Lutz, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 4 of 4 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 14.0 PPR points.
Wil Lutz, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 2 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 8.0 PPR points.
Wil Lutz, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 2 of 3 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 9.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Cairo Santos scored 12.0 PPR points and Wil Lutz scored 4.0.
The call was right: Cairo Santos outscored Wil Lutz by 8.0.
Cairo Santos, Week 1 against CAR: 1 of 1 field goal, 8 of 8 extra points, 12.0 PPR points.
Wil Lutz finished 2.6 points below the 6.6 the props implied.
Wil Lutz, Week 1 against KC: 1 of 1 field goal, 1 of 1 extra point, 4.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
K8 · DEN · bye 10
- Overall rank
- 131
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
K13 · CHI · bye 10
- Overall rank
- 148
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board17
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 2
- Board size244 draftable players
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