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Start Wil Lutz or Chase McLaughlin? Week 1

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Chase McLaughlin over Wil Lutz

Right: 11.0 to 4.0
Start

Chase McLaughlin

K · TB · at CIN · final

Books implied
7.3
pre-game
Scored
11.0
PPR pts
Sit

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · at KC · final

Scored
4.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Chase McLaughlin over Wil Lutz in Week 1.

Chase McLaughlin is priced by the books at 7.3 projected points. Wil Lutz has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Chase McLaughlin at ADP 192 and Wil Lutz at 198.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for Chase McLaughlin, with 100 percent of the markets a K needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Wil Lutz in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Chase McLaughlin and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

Wil Lutz and DEN visit KC.

Injury status

Chase McLaughlin was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Wil Lutz was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase McLaughlin played 17 games for TB and scored 149.0 PPR points, 8.8 a game, finishing K7.

Chase McLaughlin, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 3 of 4 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 10.0 PPR points.

Chase McLaughlin, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 1 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 4.0 PPR points.

Chase McLaughlin, Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 2 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 10.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Wil Lutz played 17 games for DEN and scored 130.0 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing K15.

Wil Lutz, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 4 of 4 field goals, 1 of 1 extra point, 14.0 PPR points.

Wil Lutz, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 2 of 2 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 8.0 PPR points.

Wil Lutz, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 2 of 3 field goals, 2 of 2 extra points, 9.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Chase McLaughlin scored 11.0 PPR points and Wil Lutz scored 4.0.

The call was right: Chase McLaughlin outscored Wil Lutz by 7.0.

Chase McLaughlin finished 3.7 points above the 7.3 the props implied.

Chase McLaughlin, Week 1 against CIN: 2 of 2 field goals, 3 of 3 extra points, 11.0 PPR points.

Wil Lutz, Week 1 against KC: 1 of 1 field goal, 1 of 1 extra point, 4.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

K7 · DEN · bye 10

Overall rank
174
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

K10 · TB · bye 10

Overall rank
177
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 2
  • Board size242 draftable players

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