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Start Caleb Williams or Jalen Hurts? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jalen Hurts over Caleb Williams

Start

Jalen Hurts

QB · PHI · at TEN

Books imply
20.2
fantasy pts
TEN D vs QB
9.3
4th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs MIN

Books imply
19.4
fantasy pts
MIN D vs QB
20.5
11th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Caleb Williams in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 20.2 points and Caleb Williams at 19.4, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Jalen Hurts at ADP 73 and Caleb Williams at 85.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 19.4 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jalen Hurts 0.9 points ahead of Caleb Williams on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Jalen Hurts and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 9.3 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 215 yards and no touchdowns against TEN, with no interceptions.

Caleb Williams and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 20.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Jalen Hurts played 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 48 yards.

Through Week 1, Caleb Williams played 100 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 38 times and threw an average of 11.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB9 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
25
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB12 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 7-9

Overall rank
31
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board6
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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