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Start Caleb Williams or Brock Purdy? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · vs MIA

Books imply
21.3
fantasy pts
MIA D vs QB
15.8
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs MIN

Books imply
19.4
fantasy pts
MIN D vs QB
20.5
11th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Brock Purdy at 21.3 points and Caleb Williams at 19.4, a gap of 1.9. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 88 and Caleb Williams at 85.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.4 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 21.3 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Brock Purdy 1.9 points ahead of Caleb Williams on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 20.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN, with an interception.

Brock Purdy and SF host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 15.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 160 yards and 3 touchdowns against MIA, with 2 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Caleb Williams played 100 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 38 times and threw an average of 11.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Through Week 1, Brock Purdy played 100 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 4.4 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 303 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 28 yards, 37.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB9 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
25
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB21 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 5-4

Overall rank
52
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board27
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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