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Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over CeeDee Lamb

Right: 26.2 to 15.4
Start

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · SEA · vs NE

NE D vs WR
33.1
12th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Week 1
Target share
46%
Week 1
Scored
26.2
PPR pts
Sit

CeeDee Lamb

WR · DAL · at NYG

Books imply
7.5
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
29.2
15th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
81%
Week 1
Target share
27%
Week 1
Scored
15.4
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over CeeDee Lamb in Week 1.

CeeDee Lamb is priced by the books at 7.5 projected points and Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Jaxon Smith-Njigba at ADP 7 and CeeDee Lamb at 9.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jaxon Smith-Njigba in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 7.6 fantasy points for CeeDee Lamb, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and SEA host NE.

NE allowed 33.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 161 yards and a touchdown against NE.

CeeDee Lamb and DAL visit NYG on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

NYG allowed 29.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and a touchdown against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was not on the injury report when the call was made.

CeeDee Lamb was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 57 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 17 of 2025 against CAR: 59 of 66 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 72 yards, 16.2 PPR points.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 16 of 2025 against LAR: 65 of 68 snaps, 13 targets and 8 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.6 PPR points.

In 2025, CeeDee Lamb played 14 games for DAL and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 754 air yards.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 1 target and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1.4 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 80 of 92 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 46 yards, 9.6 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 50 of 58 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 51 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 26.2 PPR points and CeeDee Lamb scored 15.4.

The call was right: Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscored CeeDee Lamb by 10.8.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 122 yards, 1 touchdown, 26.2 PPR points.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished as the week's WR6 in PPR scoring.

CeeDee Lamb finished 7.9 points above the 7.6 the props implied.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 1 against NYG: 47 of 58 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 8 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.4 PPR points.

CeeDee Lamb finished as the week's WR20 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR1 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
2
Draft pick
ADP 2
Tier
1

Ranked behind

WR6 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
64
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board62
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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