Start Chase Brown or De'Von Achane? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start De'Von Achane over Chase Brown
Wrong: 10.6 to 18.8
- LV D vs RB
- 10.5
- 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 19%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.6
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 5.8
- fantasy pts
- TB D vs RB
- 26.8
- 10th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 72%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 18.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start De'Von Achane over Chase Brown in Week 1.
Chase Brown is priced by the books at 5.8 projected points and De'Von Achane is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take De'Von Achane at ADP 11 and Chase Brown at 14.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for De'Von Achane in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 5.8 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
De'Von Achane and MIA visit LV.
LV allowed 10.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 35 yards and no touchdowns against LV and caught passes for 30 more yards.
Chase Brown and CIN host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TB allowed 26.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 76 yards and a touchdown against TB and caught passes for 52 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chase Brown has the softer matchup.
Injury status
De'Von Achane was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Chase Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, De'Von Achane played 16 games for MIA and scored 322.8 PPR points, 20.2 a game, finishing RB5.
He ran 238 times for 1350 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 67 of 85 targets for 488 yards.
He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
De'Von Achane, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 41 of 55 snaps, 18 carries for 83 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards, 14.2 PPR points.
De'Von Achane, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 42 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 81 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.0 PPR points.
De'Von Achane, Week 15 of 2025 against PIT: 40 of 50 snaps, 12 carries for 60 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards, 18.7 PPR points.
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chase Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 13 carries for 72 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.0 PPR points.
Chase Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 47 of 77 snaps, 22 carries for 101 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.1 PPR points.
Chase Brown, Week 16 of 2025 against MIA: 37 of 61 snaps, 12 carries for 66 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 3 touchdowns, 32.9 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
De'Von Achane scored 10.6 PPR points and Chase Brown scored 18.8.
The call was wrong: Chase Brown outscored De'Von Achane by 8.2.
De'Von Achane, Week 1 against LV: 48 of 56 snaps, 11 carries for 36 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
De'Von Achane finished as the week's RB24 in PPR scoring.
Chase Brown finished 13.0 points above the 5.8 the props implied.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.8 PPR points.
Chase Brown finished as the week's RB14 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 12
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIA · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 8-8
- Overall rank
- 22
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board10
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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