Start T.J. Hockenson or Chig Okonkwo? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start T.J. Hockenson over Chig Okonkwo
Right: 13.6 to 3.6- Books imply
- 2.8
- fantasy pts
- GB D vs TE
- 17.8
- 8th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.6
- PPR pts
- PHI D vs TE
- 6.9
- 7th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 56%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 10%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start T.J. Hockenson over Chig Okonkwo in Week 1.
T.J. Hockenson is priced by the books at 2.8 projected points. Chig Okonkwo has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take T.J. Hockenson at ADP 224 and Chig Okonkwo at 230. Market coverage on T.J. Hockenson is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for T.J. Hockenson, with 40 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chig Okonkwo in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
T.J. Hockenson and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 17.8 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 58 yards and a touchdown against GB.
Chig Okonkwo and WAS visit PHI.
PHI allowed 6.9 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 29 yards and no touchdowns against PHI.
By points allowed to the position, T.J. Hockenson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
T.J. Hockenson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Chig Okonkwo was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.
He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 46 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.2 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 44 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 66 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Chig Okonkwo played 17 games for TEN and scored 124.0 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing TE21.
He caught 56 of 79 targets for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 218 air yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 5 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 38 of 74 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.5 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 33 of 73 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown, 16.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
T.J. Hockenson scored 13.6 PPR points and Chig Okonkwo scored 3.6.
The call was right: T.J. Hockenson outscored Chig Okonkwo by 10.0.
T.J. Hockenson finished 10.9 points above the 2.8 the props implied.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 1 against GB: 43 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.6 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson finished as the week's TE9 in PPR scoring.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 1 against PHI: 39 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo finished as the week's TE36 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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