Start Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Garrett Wilson over Chris Olave
Wrong: 13.9 to 28.2
- Books implied
- 8.3
- pre-game
- TEN D vs WR
- 28.6
- 16th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 75%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 30%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.9
- PPR pts
- DET D vs WR
- 55.6
- most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 25%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 28.2
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Garrett Wilson over Chris Olave in Week 1.
Garrett Wilson is priced by the books at 8.3 projected points. Chris Olave has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 26 and Chris Olave at 20. Market coverage on Garrett Wilson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Olave in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Olave and NO visit DET.
DET allowed 55.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 293 yards and a touchdown against DET.
Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.
By points allowed to the position, Chris Olave has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Olave was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Garrett Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.
He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.
He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.
Chris Olave, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 61 of 78 snaps, 16 targets and 10 catches for 148 yards, 2 touchdowns, 36.8 PPR points.
Chris Olave, Week 15 of 2025 against CAR: 58 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 85 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.
He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Garrett Wilson scored 13.9 PPR points and Chris Olave scored 28.2.
The call was wrong: Chris Olave outscored Garrett Wilson by 14.3.
Garrett Wilson finished 5.6 points above the 8.3 the props implied.
Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 13.9 PPR points.
Garrett Wilson finished as the week's WR23 in PPR scoring.
Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards, 28.2 PPR points.
Chris Olave finished as the week's WR5 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR6 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 9-7
- Overall rank
- 15
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
WR7 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 4-3
- Overall rank
- 16
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size242 draftable players
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