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Start DeVonta Smith or Garrett Wilson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith

Right: 13.9 to 8.3
Start

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ · at TEN

Books imply
8.3
fantasy pts
TEN D vs WR
28.6
16th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
75%
Week 1
Target share
30%
Week 1
Scored
13.9
PPR pts
Sit

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHI · vs WAS

WAS D vs WR
26.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Week 1
Target share
27%
Week 1
Scored
8.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith in Week 1.

Garrett Wilson is priced by the books at 8.3 projected points. DeVonta Smith has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 26 and DeVonta Smith at 29. Market coverage on Garrett Wilson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for DeVonta Smith in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.

DeVonta Smith and PHI host WAS.

WAS allowed 26.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and a touchdown against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Garrett Wilson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

DeVonta Smith was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

DeVonta Smith, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 4 targets and 3 catches for 52 yards, 8.2 PPR points.

DeVonta Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 46 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

DeVonta Smith, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 60 of 70 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 42 yards, 1 touchdown, 16.2 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Garrett Wilson scored 13.9 PPR points and DeVonta Smith scored 8.3.

The call was right: Garrett Wilson outscored DeVonta Smith by 5.6.

Garrett Wilson finished 5.6 points above the 8.3 the props implied.

Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 13.9 PPR points.

Garrett Wilson finished as the week's WR23 in PPR scoring.

DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

DeVonta Smith finished as the week's WR46 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR9 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 7-9

Overall rank
68
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR23 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 4-3

Overall rank
86
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board18
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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