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Start Justin Jefferson or Chris Olave? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave

Start

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · at CHI

Books imply
17.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
42.3
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
92%
Through Week 1
Target share
39%
Through Week 1
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · at BAL · Questionable

Books imply
16.0
fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR
25.0
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Through Week 1
Target share
25%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Justin Jefferson at 17.6 points and Chris Olave at 16.0, a gap of 1.7. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 5 and Chris Olave at 11.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Justin Jefferson 1.7 points ahead of Chris Olave on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 42.3 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns against CHI.

Chris Olave and NO visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Chris Olave is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Justin Jefferson played 92 percent of MIN snaps, drew 39 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Chris Olave played 86 percent of NO snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 49 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 1 carry for 3 yards, 11 targets and 8 catches for 101 yards, 18.4 PPR points.

Justin Jefferson, Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 53 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 7.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.

Chris Olave, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 61 of 78 snaps, 16 targets and 10 catches for 148 yards, 2 touchdowns, 36.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
65
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR17 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 9-7

Overall rank
80
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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