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Start Chris Olave or Rashee Rice? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Rashee Rice over Chris Olave

Wrong: 9.9 to 28.2
Start

Rashee Rice

WR · KC · vs DEN

Books imply
12.6
fantasy pts
DEN D vs WR
14.7
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
83%
Week 1
Target share
8%
Week 1
Scored
9.9
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · at DET

DET D vs WR
55.6
most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Week 1
Target share
25%
Week 1
Scored
28.2
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Rashee Rice over Chris Olave in Week 1.

Rashee Rice is priced by the books at 12.6 projected points. Chris Olave has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Rashee Rice at ADP 17 and Chris Olave at 20.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Rashee Rice, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Olave in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Rashee Rice and KC host DEN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DEN allowed 14.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 37 yards and a touchdown against DEN.

Chris Olave and NO visit DET.

DET allowed 55.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 293 yards and a touchdown against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Chris Olave has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rashee Rice was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Olave was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rashee Rice played 8 games for KC and scored 150.1 PPR points, 18.8 a game, finishing WR40.

He caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 18 red zone targets and 157 air yards.

He was on the field for 73 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Rashee Rice, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 52 of 61 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 51 yards, 12.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.

Chris Olave, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 61 of 78 snaps, 16 targets and 10 catches for 148 yards, 2 touchdowns, 36.8 PPR points.

Chris Olave, Week 15 of 2025 against CAR: 58 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 85 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Rashee Rice scored 9.9 PPR points and Chris Olave scored 28.2.

The call was wrong: Chris Olave outscored Rashee Rice by 18.3.

Rashee Rice finished 2.7 points below the 12.6 the props implied.

Rashee Rice, Week 1 against DEN: 57 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.9 PPR points.

Rashee Rice finished as the week's WR36 in PPR scoring.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards, 28.2 PPR points.

Chris Olave finished as the week's WR5 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR17 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 9-7

Overall rank
80
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR43 · KC · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 2-6

Overall rank
118
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board38
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size244 draftable players

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