Start Christian Watson or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tetairoa McMillan at 13.8 points and Christian Watson at 15.2, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Christian Watson at 69.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 38% chance to score a touchdown (17, 15 and 18 books).

Player prop markets imply 13.8 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tetairoa McMillan at 60.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (13, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Christian Watson 1.4 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Christian Watson and GB host ATL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

ATL allowed 30.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 178 yards and no touchdowns a game against ATL.

Injury status

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Christian Watson played 83 percent of GB snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 1 against MIN: 52 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 2 against NYJ: 53 of 59 snaps, 11 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan played 81 percent of CAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Christian Watson, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 29 of 47 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 113 yards, 1 touchdown, 22.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Christian Watson over Chris Godwin Jr..
• Start DeVonta Smith over Christian Watson.
• Start Christian Watson over DJ Moore.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Dalton Schultz over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Drake London over Tetairoa McMillan.