Start Chuba Hubbard or Tony Pollard? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Tony Pollard over Chuba Hubbard
Wrong: 4.4 to 23.7
- Books implied
- 10.5
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 52%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 7%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- Books implied
- 3.3
- pre-game
- CHI D vs RB
- 33.7
- 8th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 9%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 23.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tony Pollard over Chuba Hubbard in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Tony Pollard at 10.5 points and Chuba Hubbard at 3.3, a gap of 7.2. Drafters take Tony Pollard at ADP 70 and Chuba Hubbard at 72.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Tony Pollard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Chuba Hubbard, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Tony Pollard 7.2 points ahead of Chuba Hubbard on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Tony Pollard and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
Chuba Hubbard and CAR host CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CHI allowed 33.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 91 yards and a touchdown against CHI and caught passes for 86 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chuba Hubbard has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tony Pollard was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Chuba Hubbard was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.
He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tony Pollard, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 14 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 37 of 74 snaps, 18 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 40 of 73 snaps, 21 carries for 102 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 10.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.
He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.
He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 23 of 51 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 20 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards, 2.8 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 22 of 54 snaps, 6 carries for 27 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tony Pollard scored 4.4 PPR points and Chuba Hubbard scored 23.7.
The call was wrong: Chuba Hubbard outscored Tony Pollard by 19.3.
Tony Pollard finished 6.1 points below the 10.5 the props implied.
Tony Pollard, Week 1 against NYJ: 26 of 50 snaps, 7 carries for 35 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tony Pollard finished as the week's RB44 in PPR scoring.
Chuba Hubbard finished 20.4 points above the 3.3 the props implied.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 1 against CHI: 48 of 68 snaps, 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.7 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard finished as the week's RB10 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB18 · CAR · bye 5
2025 vs rush yds line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
RB31 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board77
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 8
- Board size242 draftable players
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