Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Chuba Hubbard? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr.
Right: 23.7 to 10.0
- CHI D vs RB
- 33.7
- 8th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 9%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 23.7
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.6
- fantasy pts
- GB D vs RB
- 23.0
- 16th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Chuba Hubbard over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 1.
Aaron Jones Sr. is priced by the books at 2.6 projected points and Chuba Hubbard is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Chuba Hubbard at ADP 72 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 91.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chuba Hubbard in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Chuba Hubbard and CAR host CHI.
CHI allowed 33.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 91 yards and a touchdown against CHI and caught passes for 86 more yards.
Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 23.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB and caught passes for 1 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chuba Hubbard has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chuba Hubbard was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chuba Hubbard played 15 games for CAR and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.
He ran 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 yards.
He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 23 of 51 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 20 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards, 2.8 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 22 of 54 snaps, 6 carries for 27 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.
He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Chuba Hubbard scored 23.7 PPR points and Aaron Jones Sr. scored 10.0.
The call was right: Chuba Hubbard outscored Aaron Jones Sr. by 13.7.
Chuba Hubbard, Week 1 against CHI: 48 of 68 snaps, 10 carries for 49 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.7 PPR points.
Chuba Hubbard finished as the week's RB10 in PPR scoring.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 7.4 points above the 2.6 the props implied.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 1 against GB: 30 of 65 snaps, 12 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.0 PPR points.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished as the week's RB26 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB23 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 50
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB37 · CAR · bye 5
2025 vs rush yds line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 109
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board59
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 8
- Board size244 draftable players
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