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Start Luther Burden III or Courtland Sutton? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Luther Burden III over Courtland Sutton

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · at CAR

CAR D vs WR
41.2
7th most to WRs (2026)
Sit

Courtland Sutton

WR · DEN · at KC

KC D vs WR
13.0
2nd fewest to WRs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start Luther Burden III over Courtland Sutton in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 54.9 overall and Courtland Sutton at 61.1.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Luther Burden III in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Courtland Sutton in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI visit CAR.

CAR allowed 41.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 200 yards and a touchdown against CAR.

Courtland Sutton and DEN visit KC.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 55 yards and no touchdowns against KC.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Courtland Sutton was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 2 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Courtland Sutton, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 59 of 72 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

Courtland Sutton, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 62 of 66 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR12 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Overall rank
73
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR37 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 10-7

Overall rank
108
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board35
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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