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Start Luther Burden III or DJ Moore? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Luther Burden III over DJ Moore

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · at CAR

CAR D vs WR
41.2
7th most to WRs (2026)
Sit

DJ Moore

WR · BUF · at HOU · inactive

HOU D vs WR
41.5
6th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Week 1
Target share
29%
Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Luther Burden III over DJ Moore in Week 1.

DJ Moore is listed inactive on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Luther Burden III. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and DJ Moore at 46.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for DJ Moore in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Luther Burden III in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

DJ Moore and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 41.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU.

Luther Burden III and CHI visit CAR.

CAR allowed 41.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 200 yards and a touchdown against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, DJ Moore has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DJ Moore was listed as inactive when the call was made.

Luther Burden III was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DJ Moore played 17 games for CHI and scored 170.2 PPR points, 10.0 a game, finishing WR35.

He caught 50 of 85 targets for 682 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 460 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

DJ Moore, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

DJ Moore, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 61 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 1.7 PPR points.

DJ Moore, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 61 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 12 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 97 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR12 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Overall rank
72
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR72 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 4-13

Overall rank
187
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board115
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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