Start Dak Prescott or Justin Herbert? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Dak Prescott over Justin Herbert in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Dak Prescott at 18.9 points and Justin Herbert at 17.7, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.9 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Dak Prescott at 264.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 12.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Justin Herbert at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 19.5 rushing yards, with a 17% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Dak Prescott 1.2 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 23.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 301 yards and 3.0 touchdowns a game against BUF, with no interceptions.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 72 times and threw an average of 8.5 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 2 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Through Week 2, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 66 times and threw an average of 10.0 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 2 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Jared Goff over Dak Prescott.
• Start Bryce Young over Justin Herbert.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Justin Herbert.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Justin Herbert.