Start Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Dak Prescott at 18.9 points and Trevor Lawrence at 18.2, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.9 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Dak Prescott at 264.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 12.5 rushing yards, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 14 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 18.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Trevor Lawrence at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 9 and 15 books).

That puts Dak Prescott 0.8 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the books.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 72 times and threw an average of 8.5 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 2 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Through Week 2, Trevor Lawrence played 94 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 55 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Jared Goff over Dak Prescott.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence.