Start Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Drake Maye over Trevor Lawrence in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Drake Maye at 18.6 points and Trevor Lawrence at 18.1, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 18.6 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Drake Maye at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (17, 17, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 18.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Trevor Lawrence at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 9 and 15 books).

That puts Drake Maye 0.4 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the books.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Drake Maye played 100 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 69 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 1 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 178 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions, 7 carries for 47 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 2 against PIT: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 208 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 2, Trevor Lawrence played 94 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 55 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Drake Maye, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 14 of 18 passes for 191 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 41 yards, 15.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Drake Maye over Bryce Young.
• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Jared Goff over Drake Maye.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bryce Young.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence.