Start Tucker Kraft or Dallas Goedert? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tucker Kraft over Dallas Goedert
Wrong: 9.5 to 23.7
- Books imply
- 6.5
- fantasy pts
- MIN D vs TE
- 16.5
- 10th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.5
- PPR pts

- WAS D vs TE
- 23.7
- 5th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 95%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 23%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 23.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tucker Kraft over Dallas Goedert in Week 1.
Tucker Kraft is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Dallas Goedert has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tucker Kraft at ADP 108 and Dallas Goedert at 125. Market coverage on Tucker Kraft is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Dallas Goedert in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.
Dallas Goedert and PHI host WAS.
WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.
By points allowed to the position, Dallas Goedert has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Dallas Goedert was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.
He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.
He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Dallas Goedert, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.8 PPR points.
Dallas Goedert, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.2 PPR points.
Dallas Goedert, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 51 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns, 25.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tucker Kraft scored 9.5 PPR points and Dallas Goedert scored 23.7.
The call was wrong: Dallas Goedert outscored Tucker Kraft by 14.2.
Tucker Kraft finished 3.0 points above the 6.5 the props implied.
Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.
Dallas Goedert, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 77 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.7 PPR points.
Dallas Goedert finished as the week's TE3 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE4 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 4-4
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
TE10 · PHI · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 122
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board34
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 3
- Board size244 draftable players
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