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Start Tucker Kraft or Dallas Goedert? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tucker Kraft over Dallas Goedert

Wrong: 9.5 to 23.7
Start

Tucker Kraft

TE · GB · at MIN

Books imply
6.5
fantasy pts
MIN D vs TE
16.5
10th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
66%
Week 1
Target share
15%
Week 1
Scored
9.5
PPR pts
Sit

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs WAS

WAS D vs TE
23.7
5th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Week 1
Target share
23%
Week 1
Scored
23.7
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tucker Kraft over Dallas Goedert in Week 1.

Tucker Kraft is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Dallas Goedert has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tucker Kraft at ADP 108 and Dallas Goedert at 125. Market coverage on Tucker Kraft is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dallas Goedert in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.

Dallas Goedert and PHI host WAS.

WAS allowed 23.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 77 yards and 2 touchdowns against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Dallas Goedert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Dallas Goedert was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.

He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dallas Goedert, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.8 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 61 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.2 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 51 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns, 25.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tucker Kraft scored 9.5 PPR points and Dallas Goedert scored 23.7.

The call was wrong: Dallas Goedert outscored Tucker Kraft by 14.2.

Tucker Kraft finished 3.0 points above the 6.5 the props implied.

Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.

Dallas Goedert, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 77 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.7 PPR points.

Dallas Goedert finished as the week's TE3 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE4 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 4-4

Overall rank
88
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

TE10 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 5-10

Overall rank
122
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board34
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 3
  • Board size244 draftable players

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