Start Tucker Kraft or Dalton Kincaid? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Tucker Kraft is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Dalton Kincaid has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tucker Kraft at ADP 108 and Dalton Kincaid at 134. Market coverage on Tucker Kraft is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tucker Kraft and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 16.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 115 yards and no touchdowns against MIN.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 19.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 137 yards and no touchdowns against HOU.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tucker Kraft was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Dalton Kincaid was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.

He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 25 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tucker Kraft scored 9.5 PPR points and Dalton Kincaid scored 18.0.

The call was wrong: Dalton Kincaid outscored Tucker Kraft by 8.5.

Tucker Kraft finished 3.0 points above the 6.5 the props implied.

Tucker Kraft, Week 1 against MIN: 45 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 65 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Tucker Kraft finished as the week's TE18 in PPR scoring.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards, 18.0 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid finished as the week's TE5 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Tucker Kraft over Dallas Goedert.
• Start George Kittle over Tucker Kraft.
• Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Tucker Kraft.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Brenton Strange.
• Start Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Hunter Henry.