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Start Dalton Kincaid or Malik Nabers? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dalton Kincaid over Malik Nabers

Books imply
13.1
fantasy pts
Sit

Malik Nabers

WR · NYG · vs TEN

Books imply
12.7
fantasy pts
TEN D vs WR
41.2
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
62%
Through Week 2
Target share
21%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Malik Nabers in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Dalton Kincaid at 13.1 points and Malik Nabers at 12.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.1 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Dalton Kincaid at 56.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Malik Nabers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Malik Nabers at 55.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.4 points ahead of Malik Nabers on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Malik Nabers and NYG host TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 41.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 204 yards and a touchdown a game against TEN.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Malik Nabers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Malik Nabers played 62 percent of NYG snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Malik Nabers, Week 1 against DAL: 36 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 69 yards.

Malik Nabers, Week 2 against LAR: 43 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Malik Nabers played 4 games for NYG and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 219 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE3 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 5-7

Overall rank
45
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

WR22 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 1-3

Overall rank
50
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board5
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 9
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board