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Start Dalton Kincaid or Tee Higgins? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tee Higgins over Dalton Kincaid

Books imply
13.0
fantasy pts
Snap share
72%
Through Week 2
Target share
25%
Through Week 2
Books imply
12.9
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Tee Higgins over Dalton Kincaid in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tee Higgins at 13.0 points and Dalton Kincaid at 12.9, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Tee Higgins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Tee Higgins at 54.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Dalton Kincaid at 54.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Tee Higgins 0.1 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on the books.

Injury status

Tee Higgins is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Tee Higgins played 72 percent of CIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 53 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Tee Higgins, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 59 yards.

Tee Higgins, Week 2 against HOU: 43 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 95 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tee Higgins played 15 games for CIN and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 680 air yards.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tee Higgins, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 9 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE3 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 5-7

Overall rank
45
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

WR20 · CIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
47
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 10
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board