Start D'Andre Swift or Travis Etienne Jr.? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Travis Etienne Jr. over D'Andre Swift
Wrong: 14.8 to 32.4
- Books imply
- 7.7
- fantasy pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 14.8
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 4.3
- fantasy pts
- CAR D vs RB
- 52.8
- most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 57%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 32.4
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Travis Etienne Jr. over D'Andre Swift in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Travis Etienne Jr. at 7.7 points and D'Andre Swift at 4.3, a gap of 3.3. Drafters take Travis Etienne Jr. at ADP 39 and D'Andre Swift at 44. Market coverage on Travis Etienne Jr. is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 7.7 fantasy points for Travis Etienne Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Travis Etienne Jr. 3.3 points ahead of D'Andre Swift on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Travis Etienne Jr. and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
D'Andre Swift and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, D'Andre Swift has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Travis Etienne Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
D'Andre Swift was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.
He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
D'Andre Swift, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 10 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 66 snaps, 9 carries for 54 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 2 touchdowns, 21.9 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 13 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 9.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Travis Etienne Jr. scored 14.8 PPR points and D'Andre Swift scored 32.4.
The call was wrong: D'Andre Swift outscored Travis Etienne Jr. by 17.6.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished 7.2 points above the 7.7 the props implied.
Travis Etienne Jr., Week 1 against DET: 53 of 90 snaps, 9 carries for 46 yards, 9 targets and 7 catches for 32 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished as the week's RB16 in PPR scoring.
D'Andre Swift finished 28.1 points above the 4.3 the props implied.
D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns, 32.4 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB5 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB12 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 10-6
- Overall rank
- 30
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB13 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 34
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board4
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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