Start Travis Etienne Jr. or Breece Hall? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Breece Hall over Travis Etienne Jr.
Right: 19.8 to 14.8
- Books imply
- 12.4
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs RB
- 23.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 58%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 9%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 19.8
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 7.7
- fantasy pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 14.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Breece Hall over Travis Etienne Jr. in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Breece Hall at 12.4 points and Travis Etienne Jr. at 7.7, a gap of 4.7. Drafters take Breece Hall at ADP 30 and Travis Etienne Jr. at 39.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 12.4 fantasy points for Breece Hall, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 7.7 fantasy points for Travis Etienne Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Breece Hall 4.7 points ahead of Travis Etienne Jr. on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Breece Hall and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.
Travis Etienne Jr. and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Travis Etienne Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Breece Hall was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Travis Etienne Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Breece Hall played 16 games for NYJ and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.
He ran 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 yards.
He was on the field for 64 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Breece Hall, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 30 of 61 snaps, 14 carries for 111 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.
Breece Hall, Week 16 of 2025 against NO: 42 of 66 snaps, 16 carries for 54 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
Breece Hall, Week 15 of 2025 against JAX: 37 of 68 snaps, 12 carries for 23 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Breece Hall scored 19.8 PPR points and Travis Etienne Jr. scored 14.8.
The call was right: Breece Hall outscored Travis Etienne Jr. by 5.0.
Breece Hall finished 7.4 points above the 12.4 the props implied.
Breece Hall, Week 1 against TEN: 39 of 67 snaps, 22 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.8 PPR points.
Breece Hall finished as the week's RB13 in PPR scoring.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished 7.2 points above the 7.7 the props implied.
Travis Etienne Jr., Week 1 against DET: 53 of 90 snaps, 9 carries for 46 yards, 9 targets and 7 catches for 32 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished as the week's RB16 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB13 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 34
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB17 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 7-9
- Overall rank
- 43
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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