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Start Daniel Jones or Jacoby Brissett? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Daniel Jones over Jacoby Brissett

Wrong: 10.0 to 16.5
Start

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · vs BAL

Books imply
9.3
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
10.0
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
10.0
PPR pts
Sit

Jacoby Brissett

QB · ARI · at LAC

LAC D vs QB
16.5
15th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
16.5
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Daniel Jones over Jacoby Brissett in Week 1.

Daniel Jones is priced by the books at 9.3 projected points. Jacoby Brissett has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Daniel Jones at ADP 188 and Jacoby Brissett at 211. Market coverage on Daniel Jones is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jacoby Brissett in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Daniel Jones and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 10.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 166 yards and a touchdown against BAL, with an interception.

Jacoby Brissett and ARI visit LAC.

LAC allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 277 yards and a touchdown against LAC, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jacoby Brissett has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Daniel Jones was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jacoby Brissett was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jacoby Brissett played 14 games for ARI and scored 235.4 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing QB16.

He completed 315 of 485 passes for 3366 yards, 23 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 38 times for 168 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 22 of 31 passes for 243 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards, 16.6 PPR points.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 21 of 37 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 16.5 PPR points.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 57 of 57 snaps, 16 of 31 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards, 11.6 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Daniel Jones scored 10.0 PPR points and Jacoby Brissett scored 16.5.

The call was wrong: Jacoby Brissett outscored Daniel Jones by 6.4.

Daniel Jones finished 0.7 points above the 9.3 the props implied.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards, 10.0 PPR points.

Daniel Jones finished as the week's QB28 in PPR scoring.

Jacoby Brissett, Week 1 against LAC: 75 of 75 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 277 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 14 yards, 16.5 PPR points.

Jacoby Brissett finished as the week's QB15 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB5 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs pass yds line 6-7

Overall rank
20
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB23 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs pass yds line 6-6

Overall rank
60
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board40
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 3
  • Board size244 draftable players

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