Start Tee Higgins or Davante Adams? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tee Higgins over Davante Adams
Right: 8.9 to 5.6
- Books imply
- 7.5
- fantasy pts
- TB D vs WR
- 19.1
- 4th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 72%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.9
- PPR pts

- Books imply
- 5.4
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs WR
- 19.8
- 5th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tee Higgins over Davante Adams in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Tee Higgins at 7.5 points and Davante Adams at 5.4, a gap of 2.1. Drafters take Tee Higgins at ADP 40 and Davante Adams at 42. Market coverage on Tee Higgins is 30 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 7.5 fantasy points for Tee Higgins, with 30 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 5.4 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Tee Higgins 2.1 points ahead of Davante Adams on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Tee Higgins and CIN host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TB allowed 19.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 101 yards and no touchdowns against TB.
Davante Adams and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 19.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 108 yards and no touchdowns against SF.
By points allowed to the position, Davante Adams has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tee Higgins was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Davante Adams was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tee Higgins played 15 games for CIN and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.
He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 680 air yards.
He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tee Higgins, Week 18 of 2025 against CLE: 9 targets and 6 catches for 67 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.
Tee Higgins, Week 17 of 2025 against ARI: 44 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 9.9 PPR points.
Tee Higgins, Week 16 of 2025 against MIA: 38 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.3 PPR points.
In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.
He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.
He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Davante Adams, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 33 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 71 yards, 11.1 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tee Higgins scored 8.9 PPR points and Davante Adams scored 5.6.
The call was right: Tee Higgins outscored Davante Adams by 3.3.
Tee Higgins finished 1.4 points above the 7.5 the props implied.
Tee Higgins, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 59 yards, 8.9 PPR points.
Tee Higgins finished as the week's WR42 in PPR scoring.
Davante Adams finished 0.2 points above the 5.4 the props implied.
Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 5.6 PPR points.
Davante Adams finished as the week's WR67 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR25 · CIN · bye 6
2025 vs rec yds line 7-8
- Overall rank
- 90
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR29 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 96
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board6
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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