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Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or KC Concepcion Jr.? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over KC Concepcion

Start

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · vs MIA

Books imply
3.0
fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR
22.5
9th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
42%
Through Week 1
Target share
21%
Through Week 1
Sit

KC Concepcion

WR · CLE · at TB

TB D vs WR
19.1
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
69%
Through Week 1
Target share
23%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over KC Concepcion in Week 2.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is priced by the books at 3.0 projected points. KC Concepcion has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and his injury status only. Drafters take Deebo Samuel Sr. at ADP 114 and KC Concepcion at 119. Market coverage on Deebo Samuel Sr. is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 3.0 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for KC Concepcion in Week 2.

Week 2 matchups

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 22.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 83 yards and a touchdown against MIA.

KC Concepcion and CLE visit TB.

TB allowed 19.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 101 yards and no touchdowns against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

KC Concepcion is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 42 percent of SF snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 1 against LAR: 27 of 65 snaps, 1 carry for 12 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, KC Concepcion played 69 percent of CLE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 28 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

KC Concepcion, Week 1 against JAX: 35 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR4 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 8-8

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
ADP 10
Tier
4

Ranked behind

WR74 · CLE · bye 11

Overall rank
194
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board184
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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