Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Matthew Golden? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Matthew Golden over Deebo Samuel Sr.
Wrong: 15.5 to 18.0
- MIN D vs WR
- 55.2
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 82%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 30%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 15.5
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 3.9
- fantasy pts
- LAR D vs WR
- 47.9
- 4th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 42%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 18.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Matthew Golden over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 1.
Deebo Samuel Sr. is priced by the books at 3.9 projected points and Matthew Golden is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Matthew Golden at ADP 106 and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 119.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Matthew Golden in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Matthew Golden and GB visit MIN.
MIN allowed 55.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN.
Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit LAR on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
LAR allowed 47.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns against LAR.
By points allowed to the position, Matthew Golden has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Matthew Golden was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Deebo Samuel Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Matthew Golden played 14 games for GB and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.
He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 260 air yards.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Matthew Golden, Week 18 of 2025 against MIN: 3 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Matthew Golden, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 25 of 47 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
Matthew Golden, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 22 of 72 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.
He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.
He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 44 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 6.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Matthew Golden scored 15.5 PPR points and Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 18.0.
The call was wrong: Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Matthew Golden by 2.5.
Matthew Golden, Week 1 against MIN: 56 of 68 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 95 yards, 15.5 PPR points.
Matthew Golden finished as the week's WR17 in PPR scoring.
Deebo Samuel Sr. finished 14.1 points above the 3.9 the props implied.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 1 against LAR: 27 of 65 snaps, 1 carry for 12 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.0 PPR points.
Deebo Samuel Sr. finished as the week's WR13 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR4 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 8-8
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- ADP 10
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
WR21 · GB · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 84
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board74
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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