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Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Khalil Shakir? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Khalil Shakir over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Start

Khalil Shakir

WR · BUF · at HOU · questionable

HOU D vs WR
41.5
6th most to WRs (2026)
Sit

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · at LAR

LAR D vs WR
47.9
4th most to WRs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start Khalil Shakir over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Khalil Shakir at ADP 103.1 overall and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 109.8.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Khalil Shakir in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Khalil Shakir and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 41.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 185 yards and 2 touchdowns against HOU.

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit LAR.

LAR allowed 47.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns against LAR.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Khalil Shakir was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Deebo Samuel Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Khalil Shakir played 16 games for BUF and scored 166.4 PPR points, 10.4 a game, finishing WR36.

He caught 72 of 95 targets for 719 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 178 air yards.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Khalil Shakir, Week 17 of 2025 against PHI: 59 of 76 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 35 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Khalil Shakir, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 24 of 50 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 34 yards, 7.4 PPR points.

Khalil Shakir, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 48 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 65 yards, 11.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR4 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 8-8

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
ADP 10
Tier
4

Ranked behind

WR76 · BUF · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 9-7

Overall rank
206
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board196
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 11
  • Board size244 draftable players

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